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The math behind the growth of Islamic banking

21 Avr

By Elisabeth Eaves, Middle East Times – April 24, 2008
Elisabeth Eaves is a staff writer at Forbes.com

The notion of ethical investing goes back at least to 1758, when the Quakers banned profiting from the slave trade. But the market for ethical investments has always remained a niche. The goals of maximizing profit and fulfilling a moral agenda conflict more often than they complement one another, and investors who want to put ethics first have turned out to be relatively few. “Socially responsible investing,” or SRI, as it is called these days, has never captured the heart of Wall Street.

That could be changing. Finance that complies with Sharia, or Islamic law, is still a niche within the ethical investing niche. In all, there are at least $500 billion worth of Islamic finance assets worldwide. That’s not much in terms of global banking–U.S. banks alone hold about $12.7 trillion in assets, according to the American Bankers Association.

But the industry’s growth is eye-catching: Islamic banking has expanded by more 10% annually over the past decade, according to Standard & Poor’s. It’s grabbing the attention of some of the biggest banks in the world, and changing how they do business.

In the 1990s, HSBC (nyse: HBC – news – people ) and Citigroup (nyse: C – news – people ) established global Islamic finance divisions. Far beyond just offering a few mutual funds to suit religious investors, they and stand-alone Muslim banks are creating instruments that parallel many of the Western world’s financial products, from consumer loans to insurance to bonds.

Central banks and corporations in other industries are likewise feeling the demand. The governments of Japan and Great Britain–whether in an attempt to lure Muslim investors or impress Muslim voters–have announced plans to issue sukuk, which behave like bonds but conform to Islamic law.

Ford Motor’s (nyse: F – news – people ) $848 million sale of Aston Martin to Investment Dar, a Kuwait-based Islamic bank, required Sharia-compliant financing, and Caribou Coffee (nasdaq: CBOU – news – people ), America’s second-largest specialty coffee chain, after Starbucks (nasdaq: SBUX – news – people ), is owned by a Sharia-compliant private equity firm based in Bahrain.

So just what does Sharia-compliant banking entail? Some of it is simply prohibiting things seen as immoral. Investing in casinos, pornography and weapons of mass destruction is out.

The animating religious goal behind other restrictions is to achieve greater social justice by sharing risk and reward. Islamic finance bans people from selling what they don’t own, which rules out short selling, and from engaging in contracts deemed to have excessive uncertainty on either side. That rules out traditional insurance, so Islamic banks have instead developed takaful, in which a group of people pool risk.

The Sharia stipulation banning interest, though, is the one that poses the most problems for modern finance. To be sure, from the Bible to Buddhism, most of the world’s faiths have issued warnings against usury, and theologians through the ages have debated the line between permissible and excessive interest rates. But ultimately, in the West, governments and religious authorities deemed some amount of interest permissible.

Not so in Islam, in which most scholars (Islam has no central authority) deem fixed-interest payments forbidden. So, for example, a sukuk issuer does not sell a debt, as a traditional bond issuer would, but rather sells a portion of an asset, on which the buyer is then entitled to receive rent. Likewise, rather than take out an interest-bearing loan, a business in need of financing might enter a musharaka, a partnership with profit-and-loss sharing.

Why the growth in Islamic finance now? After all, Islam’s rules have been around since the seventh century, and some Muslim countries have been rich since the discovery of oil.

One important factor has been the recent rise in religiosity in Muslim countries, says Ibrahim Warde, author of Islamic Finance in the Global Economy and an adjunct professor of international business at Tufts University. He dates the rise to shortly after the terrorist attacks of Sept. 11, 2001. With the U.S.-led invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq, “there was a feeling in many countries that Islam was a religion under siege,” he says.

Some observers date the rise in religious observance back even further, to the 1980s, when guest workers in Saudi Arabia from across the Muslim world began returning to their own countries, re-importing with them the strict Wahhabi subsect of Islam for which the desert kingdom is known.

Whenever this burgeoning religious observance began, it’s now visible across the Muslim world in the increasing number of women in the street wearing head scarves, the number of Islamist parties that have made electoral gains in recent years (in Morocco and Egypt for instance), and now, in an increasing appetite for Sharia finance. In some cases, Warde says, Middle Eastern governments have embraced Islamic banking to advertise their religious chops.

There are, of course, glaring exceptions to this growing demand. Saudi billionaire (and member of the ruling sect) Alwaleed Bin Talal owns big stakes in Citigroup (nyse: C – news – people ), The Walt Disney Co. (nyse: DIS – news – people ), and Planet Hollywood. But Saudi Arabia, where the ruling family is trapped delicately between reform and radical extremism, may prove Warde’s point.

“The government did not encourage Islamic finance there at all. It was a grassroots movement,” says Warde. Now, many banks and financial products there are Sharia-compliant. “Once there was nothing they could do about it, they accepted it,” he says.

Some of the growth in Islamic finance has also been due to clever marketing by Malaysia. After Sept. 11, U.S. authorities froze the bank accounts of several prominent Saudis, which triggered other wealthy Arabs to withdraw their funds from the United States. Ultimately, some $200 billion left the U.S. Many of the investors were from tiny Gulf states whose economies were too small to absorb their funds, and so they looked to Malaysia, a Muslim country with a relatively sophisticated financial system.

Malaysia issued the first sovereign sukuk in 2002, and made a point of appointing Sharia scholars from the Gulf to monitor compliance. “They marketed it all over the world, and especially in the Arab world,” Warde says. Today, Kuala Lumpur rivals traditional hubs like Dubai and Bahrain as a global center of Islamic finance.

In the end, the math behind the growth of Islamic banking may be pretty simple: There are 1.3 billion Muslims in the world–roughly a fifth of the world’s population. Some live in quickly developing economies like India and Indonesia, some sit on vast oil wealth and some are newly middle-class Americans and Europeans.

No one can say for sure how many will seek out banking that complies with Islamic law, or even pay a premium for it. But even a small fraction of 1.3 billion is a market no one wants to ignore.

 
2 Commentaires

Publié par le avril 21, 2008 dans English Section, International

 

2 réponses à “The math behind the growth of Islamic banking

  1. Amrane

    décembre 17, 2010 at 8:30

    bsr, je vous remercie vraiment pour ce site c’est très intéressant et il m’aide bcp dans mes recherche.

     
  2. Asif Dada

    juin 18, 2009 at 2:49

    I strongly believe that once the Islamic Banking evolves in USA the market share of Sharia Based investment will increase manyfolds. Once the Americans realize that this is the solution to America’s prosperity there will be no looking back.

     

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